Recent forecast guidance for Panama City points to a peak temperature near 31–32°C on August 23, with the tight market split between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing. Typical August conditions feature a moist tropical air mass delivering daytime highs around 29–30°C, yet stronger insolation or delayed showers can push readings 1–2°C higher; local observations and model consensus show minimal wind shear and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C supporting modest warming potential. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 32°C—against short-term model spreads on precipitation onset, with resolution hinging on the official maximum from the primary meteorological station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日巴拿马城气温最高?
32°C 38%
31°C 35%
30°C 14%
33°C 12%
$7,682 交易量
$7,682 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
35%
32°C
38%
33°C
12%
34°C或更高
1%
32°C 38%
31°C 35%
30°C 14%
33°C 12%
$7,682 交易量
$7,682 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
35%
32°C
38%
33°C
12%
34°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance for Panama City points to a peak temperature near 31–32°C on August 23, with the tight market split between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing. Typical August conditions feature a moist tropical air mass delivering daytime highs around 29–30°C, yet stronger insolation or delayed showers can push readings 1–2°C higher; local observations and model consensus show minimal wind shear and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C supporting modest warming potential. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 32°C—against short-term model spreads on precipitation onset, with resolution hinging on the official maximum from the primary meteorological station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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