**Current NWS forecasts and model consensus point to elevated overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s for Los Angeles on August 25 amid an extreme heat wave, creating uncertainty around exact minimum values that explains the near-even split between sub-64°F and 82°F+ outcomes.** Persistent high pressure and weak onshore flow are suppressing typical marine layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the historical average of ~65°F while daytime maxima approach or exceed 95°F. Official guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard NWS office highlights this as potentially the hottest week of the year, with heat advisories and watches in effect through Friday and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under clear skies. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands versus the strong signal for warmer-than-normal minima, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from stations like LAX.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日洛杉矶最低温度?
63华氏度或以下 95%
82°F或更高 95%
64-65华氏度 48%
80-81°F 48%
63华氏度或以下
95%
64-65华氏度
48%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
48%
82°F或更高
95%
63华氏度或以下 95%
82°F或更高 95%
64-65华氏度 48%
80-81°F 48%
63华氏度或以下
95%
64-65华氏度
48%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
48%
82°F或更高
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current NWS forecasts and model consensus point to elevated overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s for Los Angeles on August 25 amid an extreme heat wave, creating uncertainty around exact minimum values that explains the near-even split between sub-64°F and 82°F+ outcomes.** Persistent high pressure and weak onshore flow are suppressing typical marine layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the historical average of ~65°F while daytime maxima approach or exceed 95°F. Official guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard NWS office highlights this as potentially the hottest week of the year, with heat advisories and watches in effect through Friday and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under clear skies. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands versus the strong signal for warmer-than-normal minima, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from stations like LAX.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题