Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies converge on a maximum temperature near 33°C for Beijing on August 24, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability, amid scattered thunderstorms that may limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show persistent humidity and convective activity over the North China Plain, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty between 32–34°C outcomes driven by variable steering flows and precipitation timing. Historical late-August baselines near 30°C provide context, while urban heat island effects could push localized readings higher if skies clear. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the risk of stronger rain suppressing the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日北京气温最高？
8月24日北京气温最高？
33°C 35%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
23%
33°C
35%
34°C
20%
35°C
6%
36℃
4%
37°C或更高
2%
33°C 35%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
27°C or below
$419 交易量
<1%
28°C
$86 交易量
1%
29°C
$23 交易量
1%
30°C
$117 交易量
4%
31°C
$731 交易量
13%
32°C
$575 交易量
23%
33°C
$728 交易量
35%
34°C
$2,150 交易量
20%
35°C
$997 交易量
6%
36℃
$432 交易量
4%
37°C或更高
$242 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies converge on a maximum temperature near 33°C for Beijing on August 24, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability, amid scattered thunderstorms that may limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show persistent humidity and convective activity over the North China Plain, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty between 32–34°C outcomes driven by variable steering flows and precipitation timing. Historical late-August baselines near 30°C provide context, while urban heat island effects could push localized readings higher if skies clear. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the risk of stronger rain suppressing the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,501结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies converge on a maximum temperature near 33°C for Beijing on August 24, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability, amid scattered thunderstorms that may limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show persistent humidity and convective activity over the North China Plain, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty between 32–34°C outcomes driven by variable steering flows and precipitation timing. Historical late-August baselines near 30°C provide context, while urban heat island effects could push localized readings higher if skies clear. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the risk of stronger rain suppressing the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,501结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies converge on a maximum temperature near 33°C for Beijing on August 24, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability, amid scattered thunderstorms that may limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show persistent humidity and convective activity over the North China Plain, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty between 32–34°C outcomes driven by variable steering flows and precipitation timing. Historical late-August baselines near 30°C provide context, while urban heat island effects could push localized readings higher if skies clear. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the risk of stronger rain suppressing the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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