Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus indicate overnight lows near 27°C for August 15 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for that outcome. Daytime maxima of 32–33°C and moderate rain or showers are expected, limiting radiative cooling at night while steering patterns from recent typhoon influences sustain above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 26–28°C, with trader distribution reflecting uncertainty from potential forecast revisions, localized urban heat effects, or unseasonal showers that could nudge the low slightly lower or higher. Official updates from the Observatory on the coming days remain the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日香港最低气温？
8月15日香港最低气温？
27°C 32%
26°C 21%
25°C 19%
28°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
21%
27°C
32%
28°C
18%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 32%
26°C 21%
25°C 19%
28°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
22°C或以下
$127 交易量
<1%
23°C
$22 交易量
1%
24°C
$15 交易量
8%
25°C
$0 交易量
19%
26°C
$0 交易量
21%
27°C
$0 交易量
32%
28°C
$0 交易量
18%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$34 交易量
8%
31°C
$12 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$234 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus indicate overnight lows near 27°C for August 15 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for that outcome. Daytime maxima of 32–33°C and moderate rain or showers are expected, limiting radiative cooling at night while steering patterns from recent typhoon influences sustain above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 26–28°C, with trader distribution reflecting uncertainty from potential forecast revisions, localized urban heat effects, or unseasonal showers that could nudge the low slightly lower or higher. Official updates from the Observatory on the coming days remain the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$443结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus indicate overnight lows near 27°C for August 15 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for that outcome. Daytime maxima of 32–33°C and moderate rain or showers are expected, limiting radiative cooling at night while steering patterns from recent typhoon influences sustain above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 26–28°C, with trader distribution reflecting uncertainty from potential forecast revisions, localized urban heat effects, or unseasonal showers that could nudge the low slightly lower or higher. Official updates from the Observatory on the coming days remain the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$443结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus indicate overnight lows near 27°C for August 15 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for that outcome. Daytime maxima of 32–33°C and moderate rain or showers are expected, limiting radiative cooling at night while steering patterns from recent typhoon influences sustain above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 26–28°C, with trader distribution reflecting uncertainty from potential forecast revisions, localized urban heat effects, or unseasonal showers that could nudge the low slightly lower or higher. Official updates from the Observatory on the coming days remain the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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