Recent official forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate Guangzhou highs of 36°C on August 13 under cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight cooling have supported heat accumulation, while afternoon convection may cap further rises. Historical mid-August averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors readings in the mid-30s Celsius over extremes, with 35°C and 37°C as secondary possibilities reflecting forecast uncertainty and potential steering influences from regional weather systems.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日广州气温最高？
8月13日广州气温最高？
36°C 45%
35°C 22%
37°C 18%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
22%
36°C
45%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C或更高
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 22%
37°C 18%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
$464 交易量
<1%
30°C
$222 交易量
<1%
31°C
$211 交易量
<1%
32°C
$561 交易量
1%
33°C
$345 交易量
2%
34°C
$320 交易量
7%
35°C
$239 交易量
22%
36°C
$713 交易量
45%
37°C
$839 交易量
18%
38°C
$385 交易量
4%
39°C或更高
$229 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate Guangzhou highs of 36°C on August 13 under cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight cooling have supported heat accumulation, while afternoon convection may cap further rises. Historical mid-August averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors readings in the mid-30s Celsius over extremes, with 35°C and 37°C as secondary possibilities reflecting forecast uncertainty and potential steering influences from regional weather systems.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,530结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate Guangzhou highs of 36°C on August 13 under cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight cooling have supported heat accumulation, while afternoon convection may cap further rises. Historical mid-August averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors readings in the mid-30s Celsius over extremes, with 35°C and 37°C as secondary possibilities reflecting forecast uncertainty and potential steering influences from regional weather systems.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,530结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate Guangzhou highs of 36°C on August 13 under cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight cooling have supported heat accumulation, while afternoon convection may cap further rises. Historical mid-August averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors readings in the mid-30s Celsius over extremes, with 35°C and 37°C as secondary possibilities reflecting forecast uncertainty and potential steering influences from regional weather systems.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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