Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日上海气温最高？
8月12日上海气温最高？
29°C 47%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
31°C 4%
最新
$10,843 交易量
最新
$10,843 交易量
2026-08-12
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
27%
29°C
47%
30°C
20%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
31°C 4%
最新
$10,843 交易量
最新
$10,843 交易量
2026-08-12
24°C或以下
$599 交易量
<1%
25°C
$643 交易量
<1%
26°C
$348 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,128 交易量
3%
28°C
$2,249 交易量
27%
29°C
$2,035 交易量
47%
30°C
$1,665 交易量
20%
31°C
$1,053 交易量
4%
32°C
$259 交易量
1%
33°C
$537 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$328 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$10,843结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,843结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题