Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日马德里气温最高？
8月10日马德里气温最高？
37°C 48%
36°C 27%
38°C 14%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
27%
37°C
48%
38°C
14%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C或更高
1%
37°C 48%
36°C 27%
38°C 14%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C或以下
$10 交易量
<1%
32°C
$10 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5 交易量
2%
34°C
$10 交易量
2%
35°C
$137 交易量
9%
36°C
$561 交易量
27%
37°C
$116 交易量
48%
38°C
$128 交易量
14%
39°C
$24 交易量
3%
40°C
$75 交易量
1%
41°C或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,090结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,090结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETOfficial AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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