Recent forecast updates from global models show a cooling trend for Shanghai on August 8 driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough, which reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This has narrowed the market-implied range tightly around 32–33°C, reflecting uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology places August highs near 31–32°C, but recent heat with peaks near 35–36°C highlights how subtle shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries can differentiate outcomes between these closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日上海气温最高？
8月8日上海气温最高？
32°C 35%
33°C 35%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
35%
33°C
35%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 35%
33°C 35%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
27°C or below
$75 交易量
1%
28°C
$75 交易量
<1%
29°C
$80 交易量
1%
30°C
$813 交易量
6%
31°C
$686 交易量
16%
32°C
$297 交易量
35%
33°C
$151 交易量
35%
34°C
$162 交易量
11%
35°C
$137 交易量
2%
36°C
$16 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models show a cooling trend for Shanghai on August 8 driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough, which reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This has narrowed the market-implied range tightly around 32–33°C, reflecting uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology places August highs near 31–32°C, but recent heat with peaks near 35–36°C highlights how subtle shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries can differentiate outcomes between these closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,390结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models show a cooling trend for Shanghai on August 8 driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough, which reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This has narrowed the market-implied range tightly around 32–33°C, reflecting uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology places August highs near 31–32°C, but recent heat with peaks near 35–36°C highlights how subtle shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries can differentiate outcomes between these closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,390结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecast updates from global models show a cooling trend for Shanghai on August 8 driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough, which reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This has narrowed the market-implied range tightly around 32–33°C, reflecting uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology places August highs near 31–32°C, but recent heat with peaks near 35–36°C highlights how subtle shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries can differentiate outcomes between these closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题