Recent observational data and short-range model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minima in Shanghai of 27–28°C on August 6, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Early-August climatology shows typical lows near 26°C amid high humidity and weak synoptic forcing, while current surface observations and ensemble forecasts indicate little deviation from this baseline through the weekend. No active tropical systems or significant cold-air intrusions are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C as the most probable range given model consensus and the absence of forecast volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日上海最低气温？
8月6日上海最低气温？
28°C 53%
27℃ 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27℃
25%
28°C
53%
29°C
17%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
28°C 53%
27℃ 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$27 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
5%
26°C
$10 交易量
7%
27℃
$20 交易量
25%
28°C
$66 交易量
53%
29°C
$31 交易量
17%
30°C
$52 交易量
1%
31°C
$10 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and short-range model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minima in Shanghai of 27–28°C on August 6, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Early-August climatology shows typical lows near 26°C amid high humidity and weak synoptic forcing, while current surface observations and ensemble forecasts indicate little deviation from this baseline through the weekend. No active tropical systems or significant cold-air intrusions are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C as the most probable range given model consensus and the absence of forecast volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$217结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and short-range model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minima in Shanghai of 27–28°C on August 6, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Early-August climatology shows typical lows near 26°C amid high humidity and weak synoptic forcing, while current surface observations and ensemble forecasts indicate little deviation from this baseline through the weekend. No active tropical systems or significant cold-air intrusions are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C as the most probable range given model consensus and the absence of forecast volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$217结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent observational data and short-range model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minima in Shanghai of 27–28°C on August 6, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Early-August climatology shows typical lows near 26°C amid high humidity and weak synoptic forcing, while current surface observations and ensemble forecasts indicate little deviation from this baseline through the weekend. No active tropical systems or significant cold-air intrusions are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C as the most probable range given model consensus and the absence of forecast volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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