Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will most likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain risk. This reflects a brief warming spell from current 27°C readings, driven by regional high-pressure ridging and warm-air advection rather than strong solar heating alone. Differentiation between 28°C and 31°C hinges on subtle variables like afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C underscore the anomaly, though short-range model spread keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日莫斯科最高气温？
8月6日莫斯科最高气温？
29°C 36%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
27°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
36%
30°C
30%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
2%
29°C 36%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
27°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
23°C或以下
$21 交易量
<1%
24°C
$10 交易量
2%
25°C
$31 交易量
2%
26°C
$101 交易量
2%
27°C
$8 交易量
8%
28°C
$5 交易量
20%
29°C
$63 交易量
36%
30°C
$78 交易量
30%
31°C
$50 交易量
7%
32°C
$32 交易量
3%
33°C或更高
$32 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will most likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain risk. This reflects a brief warming spell from current 27°C readings, driven by regional high-pressure ridging and warm-air advection rather than strong solar heating alone. Differentiation between 28°C and 31°C hinges on subtle variables like afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C underscore the anomaly, though short-range model spread keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$432结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will most likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain risk. This reflects a brief warming spell from current 27°C readings, driven by regional high-pressure ridging and warm-air advection rather than strong solar heating alone. Differentiation between 28°C and 31°C hinges on subtle variables like afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C underscore the anomaly, though short-range model spread keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$432结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will most likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain risk. This reflects a brief warming spell from current 27°C readings, driven by regional high-pressure ridging and warm-air advection rather than strong solar heating alone. Differentiation between 28°C and 31°C hinges on subtle variables like afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C underscore the anomaly, though short-range model spread keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题