Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com converge on a maximum temperature of 26–29°C (79–84°F) for Moscow on August 5, 2026, driven by a warm air mass under partly cloudy to clear skies with light winds. This exceeds the early-August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure favoring daytime heating and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's concentration on 27°C (40% implied probability) as the modal outcome, followed by 28°C and 26°C. Minor revisions remain possible from the next GFS or ECMWF runs, particularly if steering patterns shift or localized convection develops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日莫斯科最高气温?
27°C 40%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
25°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33℃或更高
2%
27°C 40%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
25°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33℃或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com converge on a maximum temperature of 26–29°C (79–84°F) for Moscow on August 5, 2026, driven by a warm air mass under partly cloudy to clear skies with light winds. This exceeds the early-August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure favoring daytime heating and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's concentration on 27°C (40% implied probability) as the modal outcome, followed by 28°C and 26°C. Minor revisions remain possible from the next GFS or ECMWF runs, particularly if steering patterns shift or localized convection develops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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