Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate cloudy conditions on August 5 with minimum temperatures near the 23.9°C climatological normal, positioning the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability. Seasonal strengthening of the Pacific High typically suppresses nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity that limits temperature drops, aligning with short-term model consensus around 21–24°C lows. Above-normal summer temperatures expected across Honshu provide slight upward pressure reflected in the 24°C share, yet potential for localized cloud cover or weak frontal influences could favor the 22°C band. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date remain the key catalysts traders are monitoring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日东京气温最低？
8月5日东京气温最低？
23°C 49%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
18%
23°C
49%
24°C
23%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
18°C或以下
$12 交易量
<1%
19°C
$39 交易量
1%
20°C
$32 交易量
1%
21°C
$12 交易量
3%
22°C
$78 交易量
18%
23°C
$49 交易量
49%
24°C
$111 交易量
23%
25°C
$13 交易量
4%
26°C
$183 交易量
2%
27°C
$12 交易量
1%
28°C或更高
$13 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate cloudy conditions on August 5 with minimum temperatures near the 23.9°C climatological normal, positioning the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability. Seasonal strengthening of the Pacific High typically suppresses nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity that limits temperature drops, aligning with short-term model consensus around 21–24°C lows. Above-normal summer temperatures expected across Honshu provide slight upward pressure reflected in the 24°C share, yet potential for localized cloud cover or weak frontal influences could favor the 22°C band. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date remain the key catalysts traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$553结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate cloudy conditions on August 5 with minimum temperatures near the 23.9°C climatological normal, positioning the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability. Seasonal strengthening of the Pacific High typically suppresses nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity that limits temperature drops, aligning with short-term model consensus around 21–24°C lows. Above-normal summer temperatures expected across Honshu provide slight upward pressure reflected in the 24°C share, yet potential for localized cloud cover or weak frontal influences could favor the 22°C band. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date remain the key catalysts traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$553结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate cloudy conditions on August 5 with minimum temperatures near the 23.9°C climatological normal, positioning the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability. Seasonal strengthening of the Pacific High typically suppresses nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity that limits temperature drops, aligning with short-term model consensus around 21–24°C lows. Above-normal summer temperatures expected across Honshu provide slight upward pressure reflected in the 24°C share, yet potential for localized cloud cover or weak frontal influences could favor the 22°C band. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date remain the key catalysts traders are monitoring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题