Persistent high-pressure systems over Western Europe are sustaining warmer-than-average conditions into early August 2026, elevating Paris nighttime lows well above the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate minimal cooling overnight due to clear skies, light winds, and residual daytime heat, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C minima for August 5. Short-term forecasts carry typical uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving Atlantic moisture, but current consensus favors limited diurnal temperature drops. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日巴黎最低气温？
8月5日巴黎最低气温？
20°C 36%
19°C 28%
18°C 17%
21°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
16°C or below
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
17%
19°C
28%
20°C
36%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 36%
19°C 28%
18°C 17%
21°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
16°C or below
$59 交易量
1%
17°C
$55 交易量
7%
18°C
$58 交易量
17%
19°C
$44 交易量
28%
20°C
$256 交易量
36%
21°C
$44 交易量
14%
22°C
$44 交易量
9%
23°C
$131 交易量
1%
24°C
$132 交易量
1%
25°C
$66 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$66 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems over Western Europe are sustaining warmer-than-average conditions into early August 2026, elevating Paris nighttime lows well above the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate minimal cooling overnight due to clear skies, light winds, and residual daytime heat, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C minima for August 5. Short-term forecasts carry typical uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving Atlantic moisture, but current consensus favors limited diurnal temperature drops. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$955结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems over Western Europe are sustaining warmer-than-average conditions into early August 2026, elevating Paris nighttime lows well above the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate minimal cooling overnight due to clear skies, light winds, and residual daytime heat, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C minima for August 5. Short-term forecasts carry typical uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving Atlantic moisture, but current consensus favors limited diurnal temperature drops. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$955结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent high-pressure systems over Western Europe are sustaining warmer-than-average conditions into early August 2026, elevating Paris nighttime lows well above the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate minimal cooling overnight due to clear skies, light winds, and residual daytime heat, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C minima for August 5. Short-term forecasts carry typical uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving Atlantic moisture, but current consensus favors limited diurnal temperature drops. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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