Recent forecasts from meteorological sources point to a daily high near 32–33°C in Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustering around those values. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity above 80%, and scattered moderate to heavy rainfall expected through the period typically cap peak temperatures while preventing stronger daytime heating. Current observations show surface readings in the mid-20s°C with southeasterly flow and cloud cover, consistent with seasonal norms where August averages hover near 32°C. Model consensus indicates limited variability from steering patterns or tropical influences, though any reduction in precipitation could nudge readings toward 34°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date will refine these contours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日深圳气温最高?
33°C 40%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
$12,773 交易量
$12,773 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
26%
33°C
40%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
$12,773 交易量
$12,773 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
26%
33°C
40%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological sources point to a daily high near 32–33°C in Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustering around those values. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity above 80%, and scattered moderate to heavy rainfall expected through the period typically cap peak temperatures while preventing stronger daytime heating. Current observations show surface readings in the mid-20s°C with southeasterly flow and cloud cover, consistent with seasonal norms where August averages hover near 32°C. Model consensus indicates limited variability from steering patterns or tropical influences, though any reduction in precipitation could nudge readings toward 34°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date will refine these contours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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