Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will remain under hot, humid summer conditions through August 5, with daytime highs near 34–36°C supporting overnight lows clustered around 27–29°C. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover have sustained strong diurnal heating, reducing nighttime radiative cooling and elevating minimum temperatures above seasonal norms of about 26°C. Urban heat island effects in central districts further anchor readings in this range, while any scattered showers would provide only marginal relief. Trader consensus on the 28°C outcome reflects these stable patterns, with slight probability mass on 27°C or 29°C allowing for minor model variations in wind or humidity ahead of the official station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日上海最低气温?
28°C 43%
27°C 26%
29°C 24%
26°C 10%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
26%
28°C
43%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32℃或更高
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 26%
29°C 24%
26°C 10%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
26%
28°C
43%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32℃或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will remain under hot, humid summer conditions through August 5, with daytime highs near 34–36°C supporting overnight lows clustered around 27–29°C. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover have sustained strong diurnal heating, reducing nighttime radiative cooling and elevating minimum temperatures above seasonal norms of about 26°C. Urban heat island effects in central districts further anchor readings in this range, while any scattered showers would provide only marginal relief. Trader consensus on the 28°C outcome reflects these stable patterns, with slight probability mass on 27°C or 29°C allowing for minor model variations in wind or humidity ahead of the official station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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