Trader consensus in this market, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability at 47.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, reflects alignment with Karachi’s climatological August average high near 32–33°C from long-term observations. Coastal moderation from the Arabian Sea, combined with early monsoon moisture and cloud cover, typically caps daytime maxima in this range while suppressing outliers above 35°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance notes temperatures in southern Sindh rising from recent 30–31°C readings toward seasonal norms, with AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook showing daily highs between 31–35°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction updates and official maximum temperature reports will refine resolution probabilities ahead of August 5.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日卡拉奇的最高温度?
33°C 47%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
31°C 5%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
47%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C或更高
1%
33°C 47%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
31°C 5%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
47%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus in this market, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability at 47.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, reflects alignment with Karachi’s climatological August average high near 32–33°C from long-term observations. Coastal moderation from the Arabian Sea, combined with early monsoon moisture and cloud cover, typically caps daytime maxima in this range while suppressing outliers above 35°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance notes temperatures in southern Sindh rising from recent 30–31°C readings toward seasonal norms, with AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook showing daily highs between 31–35°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction updates and official maximum temperature reports will refine resolution probabilities ahead of August 5.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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