Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila highlight a 90% chance of rain on August 5 amid the southwest monsoon, with daytime highs projected near 30°C alongside persistent cloud cover and localized thunderstorms. These conditions typically moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages of 29–31°C. Trader emphasis on 29°C and 30°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C depending on convective activity. No major tropical systems are currently influencing the region, leaving localized monsoon dynamics as the dominant variable ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日马尼拉的最高温度?
29°C 39%
30°C 32%
28°C 20%
27°C 5%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C
32%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 32%
28°C 20%
27°C 5%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C
32%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila highlight a 90% chance of rain on August 5 amid the southwest monsoon, with daytime highs projected near 30°C alongside persistent cloud cover and localized thunderstorms. These conditions typically moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages of 29–31°C. Trader emphasis on 29°C and 30°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C depending on convective activity. No major tropical systems are currently influencing the region, leaving localized monsoon dynamics as the dominant variable ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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