Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to mild overnight conditions across southeast England on August 4–5, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–18 °C under lingering high pressure and above-average warmth that has characterized much of summer 2026. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept nighttime radiative cooling modest, pushing implied probabilities toward 18 °C or 19 °C as the most likely daily low in London. Traders weigh these model consensus runs against typical August climatology (average low around 13 °C) and note that any increase in wind or incoming fronts could drop readings toward 17 °C or below. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日伦敦最低气温？
8月5日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
17°C 14%
20°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
14%
18°C
49%
19°C
33%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
17°C 14%
20°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
13°C or below
$365 交易量
<1%
14°C
$528 交易量
1%
15°C
$421 交易量
1%
16°C
$239 交易量
4%
17°C
$490 交易量
14%
18°C
$1,684 交易量
49%
19°C
$1,499 交易量
33%
20°C
$164 交易量
6%
21°C
$226 交易量
1%
22°C
$176 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$195 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to mild overnight conditions across southeast England on August 4–5, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–18 °C under lingering high pressure and above-average warmth that has characterized much of summer 2026. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept nighttime radiative cooling modest, pushing implied probabilities toward 18 °C or 19 °C as the most likely daily low in London. Traders weigh these model consensus runs against typical August climatology (average low around 13 °C) and note that any increase in wind or incoming fronts could drop readings toward 17 °C or below. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,974结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to mild overnight conditions across southeast England on August 4–5, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–18 °C under lingering high pressure and above-average warmth that has characterized much of summer 2026. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept nighttime radiative cooling modest, pushing implied probabilities toward 18 °C or 19 °C as the most likely daily low in London. Traders weigh these model consensus runs against typical August climatology (average low around 13 °C) and note that any increase in wind or incoming fronts could drop readings toward 17 °C or below. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,974结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to mild overnight conditions across southeast England on August 4–5, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–18 °C under lingering high pressure and above-average warmth that has characterized much of summer 2026. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept nighttime radiative cooling modest, pushing implied probabilities toward 18 °C or 19 °C as the most likely daily low in London. Traders weigh these model consensus runs against typical August climatology (average low around 13 °C) and note that any increase in wind or incoming fronts could drop readings toward 17 °C or below. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题