Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日巴黎气温最高？
8月5日巴黎气温最高？
28°C 46%
29°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
46%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
24°C或以下
$350 交易量
<1%
25°C
$85 交易量
<1%
26°C
$147 交易量
3%
27°C
$382 交易量
19%
28°C
$751 交易量
46%
29°C
$435 交易量
30%
30°C
$243 交易量
6%
31°C
$281 交易量
3%
32°C
$457 交易量
1%
33°C
$138 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$259 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,529结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,529结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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