Current forecast models indicate a moderate westerly flow over the North Sea, with expected highs of 20–22°C on August 6 driven by typical August maritime conditions, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. This aligns with Amsterdam’s climatological average high near 21°C and explains the dominant implied probabilities clustered at 21°C (46%), 22°C (26%), and 20°C (22.5%). Recent cooling after early-summer warmth and ensemble guidance showing modest variability from Atlantic influences reinforce trader focus on these central outcomes rather than extremes, with resolution depending on official KNMI measurements of the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
21°C 46%
22°C 25%
20°C 23%
19°C 7%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
23%
21°C
46%
22°C
25%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 46%
22°C 25%
20°C 23%
19°C 7%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
23%
21°C
46%
22°C
25%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate a moderate westerly flow over the North Sea, with expected highs of 20–22°C on August 6 driven by typical August maritime conditions, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. This aligns with Amsterdam’s climatological average high near 21°C and explains the dominant implied probabilities clustered at 21°C (46%), 22°C (26%), and 20°C (22.5%). Recent cooling after early-summer warmth and ensemble guidance showing modest variability from Atlantic influences reinforce trader focus on these central outcomes rather than extremes, with resolution depending on official KNMI measurements of the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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