Recent model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw of 31–34 °C on August 6, driven by southerly warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With the event only two days away, updated runs and observational data from Polish meteorological stations will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, tightening probabilities among the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月6日最高气温？
华沙8月6日最高气温？
33°C 32%
32°C 26%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
26%
33°C
32%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
33°C 32%
32°C 26%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
$289 交易量
2%
30°C
$253 交易量
3%
31°C
$236 交易量
14%
32°C
$320 交易量
26%
33°C
$2,458 交易量
32%
34°C
$434 交易量
17%
35°C
$420 交易量
7%
36°C
$26 交易量
1%
37°C
$31 交易量
1%
38°C
$179 交易量
<1%
39°C或更高
$300 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw of 31–34 °C on August 6, driven by southerly warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With the event only two days away, updated runs and observational data from Polish meteorological stations will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, tightening probabilities among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,945结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw of 31–34 °C on August 6, driven by southerly warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With the event only two days away, updated runs and observational data from Polish meteorological stations will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, tightening probabilities among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,945结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw of 31–34 °C on August 6, driven by southerly warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With the event only two days away, updated runs and observational data from Polish meteorological stations will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, tightening probabilities among the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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