Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 28°C on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity limiting radiative cooling and daytime highs around 32–35°C sustaining warmth into the night. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks shows no major frontal passages or typhoon influences expected to drop temperatures further, aligning with historical August averages of 25–28°C. Recent observations confirm stable minimums in the 25–27°C range earlier in the month, supporting market-implied odds favoring 28°C and 29°C outcomes while assigning lower probability to cooler thresholds absent unexpected cloud breaks or wind shifts. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日上海最低气温?
28°C 56%
29°C 35%
27°C 12%
26°C 2%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
56%
29°C
32%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 56%
29°C 35%
27°C 12%
26°C 2%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
56%
29°C
32%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 28°C on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity limiting radiative cooling and daytime highs around 32–35°C sustaining warmth into the night. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks shows no major frontal passages or typhoon influences expected to drop temperatures further, aligning with historical August averages of 25–28°C. Recent observations confirm stable minimums in the 25–27°C range earlier in the month, supporting market-implied odds favoring 28°C and 29°C outcomes while assigning lower probability to cooler thresholds absent unexpected cloud breaks or wind shifts. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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