Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with Korea Meteorological Administration severe alerts in effect, are anchoring trader consensus near 27–28°C for the Incheon International Airport minimum on August 8. Strong subsidence, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies have kept recent morning lows in the mid- to upper-20s°C, well above the climatological average near 23°C. Model consensus from short-range guidance shows modest spread in overnight wind and cloud trends that could tip the low by 1°C either direction, while urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor add further elevation. Updated KMA briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the weekend will refine whether any late-day convection or subtle steering changes allow slightly greater cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
28°C 43%
27°C 40%
26°C 19%
29°C 9%
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
29%
27°C
40%
28°C
43%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C或以上
3%
28°C 43%
27°C 40%
26°C 19%
29°C 9%
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
29%
27°C
40%
28°C
43%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with Korea Meteorological Administration severe alerts in effect, are anchoring trader consensus near 27–28°C for the Incheon International Airport minimum on August 8. Strong subsidence, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies have kept recent morning lows in the mid- to upper-20s°C, well above the climatological average near 23°C. Model consensus from short-range guidance shows modest spread in overnight wind and cloud trends that could tip the low by 1°C either direction, while urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor add further elevation. Updated KMA briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the weekend will refine whether any late-day convection or subtle steering changes allow slightly greater cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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