Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by warm South China Sea surface temperatures and monsoon moisture, sets the stage for peak daily highs near 32–33°C on August 6, 2026, with market-implied odds clustered there at 29–30%. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid long-term warming trends, while short-range model runs show afternoon convection and variable cloud cover as the main variables that could suppress or allow brief spikes toward 34°C. High humidity and potential showers introduce genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, explaining why 31°C and 34°C outcomes retain meaningful trader support rather than a dominant consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日香港气温最高？
8月6日香港气温最高？
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 18%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
11%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 18%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
27°C or below
$583 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,135 交易量
<1%
29°C
$682 交易量
1%
30°C
$856 交易量
8%
31°C
$816 交易量
11%
32°C
$757 交易量
27%
33°C
$1,612 交易量
36%
34°C
$807 交易量
18%
35°C
$947 交易量
5%
36°C
$56 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$274 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by warm South China Sea surface temperatures and monsoon moisture, sets the stage for peak daily highs near 32–33°C on August 6, 2026, with market-implied odds clustered there at 29–30%. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid long-term warming trends, while short-range model runs show afternoon convection and variable cloud cover as the main variables that could suppress or allow brief spikes toward 34°C. High humidity and potential showers introduce genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, explaining why 31°C and 34°C outcomes retain meaningful trader support rather than a dominant consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$8,523结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by warm South China Sea surface temperatures and monsoon moisture, sets the stage for peak daily highs near 32–33°C on August 6, 2026, with market-implied odds clustered there at 29–30%. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid long-term warming trends, while short-range model runs show afternoon convection and variable cloud cover as the main variables that could suppress or allow brief spikes toward 34°C. High humidity and potential showers introduce genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, explaining why 31°C and 34°C outcomes retain meaningful trader support rather than a dominant consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,523结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by warm South China Sea surface temperatures and monsoon moisture, sets the stage for peak daily highs near 32–33°C on August 6, 2026, with market-implied odds clustered there at 29–30%. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid long-term warming trends, while short-range model runs show afternoon convection and variable cloud cover as the main variables that could suppress or allow brief spikes toward 34°C. High humidity and potential showers introduce genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, explaining why 31°C and 34°C outcomes retain meaningful trader support rather than a dominant consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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