Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy skies on August 8 with minimum temperatures near 25°C, consistent with climatological averages for early August when urban heat retention and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty around cloud cover, wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can elevate overnight lows above historical baselines by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observatory readings, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日东京气温最低？
8月8日东京气温最低？
27°C 50%
26°C 43%
25°C 29%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
21°C或以下
4%
22°C
4%
23℃
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
29%
26°C
43%
27°C
50%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C或以上
2%
27°C 50%
26°C 43%
25°C 29%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
21°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
22°C
$10 交易量
4%
23℃
$7 交易量
2%
24°C
$7 交易量
3%
25°C
$7 交易量
29%
26°C
$14 交易量
43%
27°C
$7 交易量
50%
28°C
$7 交易量
9%
29°C
$7 交易量
3%
30°C
$10 交易量
3%
31°C或以上
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy skies on August 8 with minimum temperatures near 25°C, consistent with climatological averages for early August when urban heat retention and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty around cloud cover, wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can elevate overnight lows above historical baselines by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observatory readings, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$98结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy skies on August 8 with minimum temperatures near 25°C, consistent with climatological averages for early August when urban heat retention and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty around cloud cover, wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can elevate overnight lows above historical baselines by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observatory readings, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$98结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy skies on August 8 with minimum temperatures near 25°C, consistent with climatological averages for early August when urban heat retention and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty around cloud cover, wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can elevate overnight lows above historical baselines by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observatory readings, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题