Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services currently cluster maximum temperatures in Milan around 31–33 °C for August 8, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C. A broad high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light winds, and clear skies has allowed strong daytime heating, while modest southerly flow advects warmer Mediterranean air. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, limiting the probability of extremes above 34 °C or below 30 °C. Updated model runs overnight showed little shift in the thermal profile, sustaining trader consensus on the low-30s range ahead of final verification from official Milan stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日米兰的最高温度？
8月8日米兰的最高温度？
32°C 50%
31°C 29%
33°C 27%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C或更高
2%
32°C 50%
31°C 29%
33°C 27%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
25°C or below
$10 交易量
<1%
26°C
$10 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10 交易量
1%
28°C
$10 交易量
2%
29°C
$10 交易量
2%
30°C
$27 交易量
3%
31°C
$4 交易量
18%
32°C
$0 交易量
50%
33°C
$8 交易量
27%
34°C
$0 交易量
12%
35°C或更高
$6 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services currently cluster maximum temperatures in Milan around 31–33 °C for August 8, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C. A broad high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light winds, and clear skies has allowed strong daytime heating, while modest southerly flow advects warmer Mediterranean air. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, limiting the probability of extremes above 34 °C or below 30 °C. Updated model runs overnight showed little shift in the thermal profile, sustaining trader consensus on the low-30s range ahead of final verification from official Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$94结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services currently cluster maximum temperatures in Milan around 31–33 °C for August 8, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C. A broad high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light winds, and clear skies has allowed strong daytime heating, while modest southerly flow advects warmer Mediterranean air. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, limiting the probability of extremes above 34 °C or below 30 °C. Updated model runs overnight showed little shift in the thermal profile, sustaining trader consensus on the low-30s range ahead of final verification from official Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$94结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETForecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services currently cluster maximum temperatures in Milan around 31–33 °C for August 8, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C. A broad high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light winds, and clear skies has allowed strong daytime heating, while modest southerly flow advects warmer Mediterranean air. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, limiting the probability of extremes above 34 °C or below 30 °C. Updated model runs overnight showed little shift in the thermal profile, sustaining trader consensus on the low-30s range ahead of final verification from official Milan stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题