Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 37–38°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 38°C (48%) or 37°C (29%). Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and a stable ridge support modest intensification beyond the long-term August mean of roughly 32–34°C, while limited moisture reduces cooling potential. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread ahead of resolution, which hinges on official AEMET station measurements; any late-day deviation or revision represents the main uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日马德里气温最高？
8月8日马德里气温最高？
38°C 47%
37°C 29%
39°C 23%
36°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
34°C或以下
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
29%
38°C
47%
39°C
23%
40°C
7%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C或更高
1%
38°C 47%
37°C 29%
39°C 23%
36°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
34°C或以下
$10 交易量
2%
35°C
$20 交易量
3%
36°C
$72 交易量
8%
37°C
$160 交易量
29%
38°C
$228 交易量
47%
39°C
$154 交易量
23%
40°C
$29 交易量
7%
41°C
$27 交易量
2%
42°C
$37 交易量
1%
43°C
$15 交易量
1%
44°C或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 37–38°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 38°C (48%) or 37°C (29%). Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and a stable ridge support modest intensification beyond the long-term August mean of roughly 32–34°C, while limited moisture reduces cooling potential. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread ahead of resolution, which hinges on official AEMET station measurements; any late-day deviation or revision represents the main uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$767结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 37–38°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 38°C (48%) or 37°C (29%). Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and a stable ridge support modest intensification beyond the long-term August mean of roughly 32–34°C, while limited moisture reduces cooling potential. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread ahead of resolution, which hinges on official AEMET station measurements; any late-day deviation or revision represents the main uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$767结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 37–38°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 38°C (48%) or 37°C (29%). Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and a stable ridge support modest intensification beyond the long-term August mean of roughly 32–34°C, while limited moisture reduces cooling potential. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread ahead of resolution, which hinges on official AEMET station measurements; any late-day deviation or revision represents the main uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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