Recent Japan Meteorological Agency outlooks and ensemble models show Tokyo under a strengthened Pacific High with above-normal warmth for early August 2026, producing forecast highs clustered around 32–33 °C on the 6th amid 25–27 °C dew points and light southerly flow. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover remain the key variables that could cap the daily maximum one degree lower, while clearer conditions or slightly stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of that range. These probabilities align with climatological baselines near 31 °C yet reflect the broader 2026 seasonal warmth signal, with resolution hinging on official JMA station readings at the end of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日东京气温最高？
8月6日东京气温最高？
32°C 36%
33°C 31%
31°C 18%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
36%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
33°C 31%
31°C 18%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
26°C or below
$22 交易量
<1%
27°C
$18 交易量
1%
28°C
$69 交易量
1%
29°C
$12 交易量
3%
30°C
$45 交易量
4%
31°C
$30 交易量
18%
32°C
$72 交易量
36%
33°C
$107 交易量
31%
34°C
$325 交易量
11%
35°C
$14 交易量
3%
36°C or higher
$27 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency outlooks and ensemble models show Tokyo under a strengthened Pacific High with above-normal warmth for early August 2026, producing forecast highs clustered around 32–33 °C on the 6th amid 25–27 °C dew points and light southerly flow. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover remain the key variables that could cap the daily maximum one degree lower, while clearer conditions or slightly stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of that range. These probabilities align with climatological baselines near 31 °C yet reflect the broader 2026 seasonal warmth signal, with resolution hinging on official JMA station readings at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$741结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency outlooks and ensemble models show Tokyo under a strengthened Pacific High with above-normal warmth for early August 2026, producing forecast highs clustered around 32–33 °C on the 6th amid 25–27 °C dew points and light southerly flow. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover remain the key variables that could cap the daily maximum one degree lower, while clearer conditions or slightly stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of that range. These probabilities align with climatological baselines near 31 °C yet reflect the broader 2026 seasonal warmth signal, with resolution hinging on official JMA station readings at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$741结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency outlooks and ensemble models show Tokyo under a strengthened Pacific High with above-normal warmth for early August 2026, producing forecast highs clustered around 32–33 °C on the 6th amid 25–27 °C dew points and light southerly flow. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover remain the key variables that could cap the daily maximum one degree lower, while clearer conditions or slightly stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of that range. These probabilities align with climatological baselines near 31 °C yet reflect the broader 2026 seasonal warmth signal, with resolution hinging on official JMA station readings at the end of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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