Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) form the core driver behind the tight contest between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with ensemble means centering near 27.5°C and limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. A transitioning synoptic pattern—waning high pressure allowing increased cloud cover and a shift toward slightly cooler maritime air—has lowered expectations from the 31–36°C readings recorded earlier in the week. Key variables include solar insolation under variable skies, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which keep 29°C plausible but lower-probability in the latest model consensus. Updated short-range guidance and observational verification tomorrow morning will narrow the remaining range before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月7日慕尼黑的最高温度？
27°C 42%
28°C 39%
29°C 18%
26°C 6%
最新
$41,206 交易量
最新
$41,206 交易量
2026-08-07
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
42%
28°C
39%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 39%
29°C 18%
26°C 6%
最新
$41,206 交易量
最新
$41,206 交易量
2026-08-07
21°C or below
$281 交易量
<1%
22°C
$671 交易量
<1%
23°C
$647 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,091 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,068 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,047 交易量
6%
27°C
$9,855 交易量
42%
28°C
$5,526 交易量
39%
29°C
$8,195 交易量
18%
30°C
$4,691 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$3,135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) form the core driver behind the tight contest between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with ensemble means centering near 27.5°C and limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. A transitioning synoptic pattern—waning high pressure allowing increased cloud cover and a shift toward slightly cooler maritime air—has lowered expectations from the 31–36°C readings recorded earlier in the week. Key variables include solar insolation under variable skies, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which keep 29°C plausible but lower-probability in the latest model consensus. Updated short-range guidance and observational verification tomorrow morning will narrow the remaining range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$41,206结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) form the core driver behind the tight contest between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with ensemble means centering near 27.5°C and limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. A transitioning synoptic pattern—waning high pressure allowing increased cloud cover and a shift toward slightly cooler maritime air—has lowered expectations from the 31–36°C readings recorded earlier in the week. Key variables include solar insolation under variable skies, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which keep 29°C plausible but lower-probability in the latest model consensus. Updated short-range guidance and observational verification tomorrow morning will narrow the remaining range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,206结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) form the core driver behind the tight contest between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with ensemble means centering near 27.5°C and limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. A transitioning synoptic pattern—waning high pressure allowing increased cloud cover and a shift toward slightly cooler maritime air—has lowered expectations from the 31–36°C readings recorded earlier in the week. Key variables include solar insolation under variable skies, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which keep 29°C plausible but lower-probability in the latest model consensus. Updated short-range guidance and observational verification tomorrow morning will narrow the remaining range before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题