Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates London overnight lows of 14–15°C on August 7 under mild high-pressure influence with light winds and limited cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Radiative cooling rates overnight, modulated by urban heat island effects and any residual moisture from prior days, create the narrow differentiation, as clearer skies could dip readings toward 14°C while slight increases in humidity or breeze support 15°C. Historical August minima average near 13°C, but current model consensus favors slightly above-normal values amid the broader warming trend. Traders will monitor final model runs and real-time observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日伦敦最低气温?
14°C 44%
15°C 36%
13°C 12%
16°C 5%
$11,639 交易量
$11,639 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
44%
15°C
36%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
14°C 44%
15°C 36%
13°C 12%
16°C 5%
$11,639 交易量
$11,639 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
44%
15°C
36%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates London overnight lows of 14–15°C on August 7 under mild high-pressure influence with light winds and limited cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Radiative cooling rates overnight, modulated by urban heat island effects and any residual moisture from prior days, create the narrow differentiation, as clearer skies could dip readings toward 14°C while slight increases in humidity or breeze support 15°C. Historical August minima average near 13°C, but current model consensus favors slightly above-normal values amid the broader warming trend. Traders will monitor final model runs and real-time observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题