Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for London on August 6, driven by a shift to cooler, more unsettled northerly flow after recent warm, humid conditions. Overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and lighter winds supports the 15°C outcome as the consensus favorite, while variance in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover keeps 14°C and 16°C viable within typical model spread. August climatology shows average overnight lows near 13°C, but the ongoing warm summer has elevated baseline minima, contributing to the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日伦敦最低气温？
8月6日伦敦最低气温？
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 21%
13°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
10°C or below
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
21%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 21%
13°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
10°C or below
$10 交易量
4%
11°C
$15 交易量
8%
12°C
$30 交易量
3%
13°C
$6 交易量
12%
14°C
$102 交易量
29%
15°C
$638 交易量
39%
16°C
$6 交易量
21%
17°C
$27 交易量
5%
18°C
$15 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C or higher
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for London on August 6, driven by a shift to cooler, more unsettled northerly flow after recent warm, humid conditions. Overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and lighter winds supports the 15°C outcome as the consensus favorite, while variance in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover keeps 14°C and 16°C viable within typical model spread. August climatology shows average overnight lows near 13°C, but the ongoing warm summer has elevated baseline minima, contributing to the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$140结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for London on August 6, driven by a shift to cooler, more unsettled northerly flow after recent warm, humid conditions. Overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and lighter winds supports the 15°C outcome as the consensus favorite, while variance in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover keeps 14°C and 16°C viable within typical model spread. August climatology shows average overnight lows near 13°C, but the ongoing warm summer has elevated baseline minima, contributing to the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$140结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for London on August 6, driven by a shift to cooler, more unsettled northerly flow after recent warm, humid conditions. Overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and lighter winds supports the 15°C outcome as the consensus favorite, while variance in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover keeps 14°C and 16°C viable within typical model spread. August climatology shows average overnight lows near 13°C, but the ongoing warm summer has elevated baseline minima, contributing to the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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