Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service points to a maximum temperature near 15°C in Cape Town on August 10, consistent with the market's leading implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting model spread. A passing cold front and associated high-pressure ridge are modulating conditions, with south-westerly winds and cooler Atlantic air masses limiting daytime warming in this winter period when the Benguela Current typically anchors coastal maxima around 16–17°C. Key variables include the exact timing of frontal passage, cloud cover reducing insolation, and local orographic effects from Table Mountain that can create microclimate variations of 1–2°C. Upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, as small shifts in steering flow could favor either 14°C or 16°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日开普敦气温最高？
8月10日开普敦气温最高？
15°C 50%
16°C 26%
14°C 14%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
14%
15°C
50%
16°C
26%
17°C
11%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C或更高
1%
15°C 50%
16°C 26%
14°C 14%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
10°C或以下
$72 交易量
<1%
11°C
$73 交易量
<1%
12°C
$15 交易量
1%
13°C
$58 交易量
4%
14°C
$103 交易量
14%
15°C
$137 交易量
50%
16°C
$62 交易量
26%
17°C
$87 交易量
11%
18°C
$73 交易量
4%
19°C
$37 交易量
1%
20°C或更高
$77 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service points to a maximum temperature near 15°C in Cape Town on August 10, consistent with the market's leading implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting model spread. A passing cold front and associated high-pressure ridge are modulating conditions, with south-westerly winds and cooler Atlantic air masses limiting daytime warming in this winter period when the Benguela Current typically anchors coastal maxima around 16–17°C. Key variables include the exact timing of frontal passage, cloud cover reducing insolation, and local orographic effects from Table Mountain that can create microclimate variations of 1–2°C. Upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, as small shifts in steering flow could favor either 14°C or 16°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$795结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service points to a maximum temperature near 15°C in Cape Town on August 10, consistent with the market's leading implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting model spread. A passing cold front and associated high-pressure ridge are modulating conditions, with south-westerly winds and cooler Atlantic air masses limiting daytime warming in this winter period when the Benguela Current typically anchors coastal maxima around 16–17°C. Key variables include the exact timing of frontal passage, cloud cover reducing insolation, and local orographic effects from Table Mountain that can create microclimate variations of 1–2°C. Upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, as small shifts in steering flow could favor either 14°C or 16°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$795结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service points to a maximum temperature near 15°C in Cape Town on August 10, consistent with the market's leading implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting model spread. A passing cold front and associated high-pressure ridge are modulating conditions, with south-westerly winds and cooler Atlantic air masses limiting daytime warming in this winter period when the Benguela Current typically anchors coastal maxima around 16–17°C. Key variables include the exact timing of frontal passage, cloud cover reducing insolation, and local orographic effects from Table Mountain that can create microclimate variations of 1–2°C. Upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, as small shifts in steering flow could favor either 14°C or 16°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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