Current forecast models from European centers show peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 centering on 35–36 °C under persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, with clear skies and light winds favoring maximum boundary-layer heating. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August urban heat-island amplification and minor model spread in afternoon temperature peaks. Ensemble variability, potential for localized convection, and official verification thresholds from regional networks introduce the observed probability split, while climatological August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context for the elevated readings. New model runs and updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日米兰最高气温？
8月10日米兰最高气温？
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 14%
37°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C or below
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
14%
35°C
32%
36°C
38%
37°C
12%
38°C
4%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
1%
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 14%
37°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C or below
$12 交易量
1%
32°C
$10 交易量
2%
33°C
$76 交易量
5%
34°C
$105 交易量
14%
35°C
$11 交易量
32%
36°C
$11 交易量
38%
37°C
$22 交易量
12%
38°C
$0 交易量
4%
39°C
$2 交易量
3%
40°C
$5 交易量
2%
41°C或更高
$17 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European centers show peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 centering on 35–36 °C under persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, with clear skies and light winds favoring maximum boundary-layer heating. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August urban heat-island amplification and minor model spread in afternoon temperature peaks. Ensemble variability, potential for localized convection, and official verification thresholds from regional networks introduce the observed probability split, while climatological August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context for the elevated readings. New model runs and updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$271结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European centers show peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 centering on 35–36 °C under persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, with clear skies and light winds favoring maximum boundary-layer heating. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August urban heat-island amplification and minor model spread in afternoon temperature peaks. Ensemble variability, potential for localized convection, and official verification thresholds from regional networks introduce the observed probability split, while climatological August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context for the elevated readings. New model runs and updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$271结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETCurrent forecast models from European centers show peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 centering on 35–36 °C under persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, with clear skies and light winds favoring maximum boundary-layer heating. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August urban heat-island amplification and minor model spread in afternoon temperature peaks. Ensemble variability, potential for localized convection, and official verification thresholds from regional networks introduce the observed probability split, while climatological August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context for the elevated readings. New model runs and updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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