Recent forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover over northern Italy, positioning Milan's maximum temperature for August 9 near 34–35°C. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 34°C (46%), 33°C (24.5%), and 35°C (24.5%), as current observational trends and short-range model consensus show stable high-pressure influence suppressing stronger heating or cooling. Historical August baselines for Milan average around 28–30°C, but persistent warm advection supports the slight upward shift implied by trader positions. Updated model runs over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日米兰的最高温度?
34°C 46%
35°C 25%
33°C 22%
36°C 4%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
22%
34°C
46%
35°C
25%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
35°C 25%
33°C 22%
36°C 4%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
22%
34°C
46%
35°C
25%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover over northern Italy, positioning Milan's maximum temperature for August 9 near 34–35°C. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 34°C (46%), 33°C (24.5%), and 35°C (24.5%), as current observational trends and short-range model consensus show stable high-pressure influence suppressing stronger heating or cooling. Historical August baselines for Milan average around 28–30°C, but persistent warm advection supports the slight upward shift implied by trader positions. Updated model runs over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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