Latest high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting strong daytime radiative heating and light winds that support a Munich maximum near 33°C on August 9. Subtle differences in modeled cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor warm-air advection create the tight clustering between 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the slight edge toward 33°C. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in the 12–18 UTC temperature evolution or urban heat-island effects could tip resolution between these adjacent brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日慕尼黑的最高温度?
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
17%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
17%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting strong daytime radiative heating and light winds that support a Munich maximum near 33°C on August 9. Subtle differences in modeled cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor warm-air advection create the tight clustering between 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the slight edge toward 33°C. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in the 12–18 UTC temperature evolution or urban heat-island effects could tip resolution between these adjacent brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题