Recent forecast models for Guangzhou indicate daily highs around 37–39°C on August 9, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 38°C (36.5%), 37°C (26.5%), and 39°C (19.5%). Subtropical monsoon patterns, combined with ongoing summer warming trends from urbanization and a 0.25°C-per-decade rise in maximum temperatures, support this cluster. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, with occasional peaks above 37°C, provide context, while current model consensus shows no major heatwave or cooling shift. Traders weigh these factors against typical variability and the two-day forecast horizon before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日广州气温最高？
8月9日广州气温最高？
38°C 41%
37°C 28%
39°C 21%
36°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
28%
38°C
41%
39°C
21%
40°C
7%
41°C或更高
<1%
38°C 41%
37°C 28%
39°C 21%
36°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
31°C或以下
$549 交易量
<1%
32°C
$152 交易量
<1%
33°C
$30 交易量
1%
34°C
$97 交易量
1%
35°C
$330 交易量
2%
36°C
$44 交易量
9%
37°C
$134 交易量
28%
38°C
$210 交易量
41%
39°C
$261 交易量
21%
40°C
$92 交易量
7%
41°C或更高
$1,740 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Guangzhou indicate daily highs around 37–39°C on August 9, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 38°C (36.5%), 37°C (26.5%), and 39°C (19.5%). Subtropical monsoon patterns, combined with ongoing summer warming trends from urbanization and a 0.25°C-per-decade rise in maximum temperatures, support this cluster. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, with occasional peaks above 37°C, provide context, while current model consensus shows no major heatwave or cooling shift. Traders weigh these factors against typical variability and the two-day forecast horizon before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,640结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Guangzhou indicate daily highs around 37–39°C on August 9, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 38°C (36.5%), 37°C (26.5%), and 39°C (19.5%). Subtropical monsoon patterns, combined with ongoing summer warming trends from urbanization and a 0.25°C-per-decade rise in maximum temperatures, support this cluster. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, with occasional peaks above 37°C, provide context, while current model consensus shows no major heatwave or cooling shift. Traders weigh these factors against typical variability and the two-day forecast horizon before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,640结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models for Guangzhou indicate daily highs around 37–39°C on August 9, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 38°C (36.5%), 37°C (26.5%), and 39°C (19.5%). Subtropical monsoon patterns, combined with ongoing summer warming trends from urbanization and a 0.25°C-per-decade rise in maximum temperatures, support this cluster. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, with occasional peaks above 37°C, provide context, while current model consensus shows no major heatwave or cooling shift. Traders weigh these factors against typical variability and the two-day forecast horizon before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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