Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show afternoon maxima in Chengdu hovering near 34–35°C on August 9 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. The Sichuan basin’s typical summer heat-trapping circulation and high humidity amplify sensitivity to small differences in cloud cover or timing of convection, which can suppress or allow peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers around 30–32°C, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-average warmth persisting into the weekend before any monsoon surge arrives. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies and ECMWF/GFS ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the narrow 33–36°C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日成都气温最高？
8月9日成都气温最高？
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
16%
34°C
29%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C或更高
10%
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C或以下
$349 交易量
<1%
28°C
$10 交易量
<1%
29°C
$15 交易量
<1%
30°C
$25 交易量
<1%
31°C
$433 交易量
2%
32°C
$137 交易量
7%
33°C
$199 交易量
16%
34°C
$363 交易量
29%
35°C
$510 交易量
30%
36°C
$317 交易量
14%
37°C或更高
$3,699 交易量
10%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show afternoon maxima in Chengdu hovering near 34–35°C on August 9 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. The Sichuan basin’s typical summer heat-trapping circulation and high humidity amplify sensitivity to small differences in cloud cover or timing of convection, which can suppress or allow peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers around 30–32°C, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-average warmth persisting into the weekend before any monsoon surge arrives. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies and ECMWF/GFS ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the narrow 33–36°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,056结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show afternoon maxima in Chengdu hovering near 34–35°C on August 9 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. The Sichuan basin’s typical summer heat-trapping circulation and high humidity amplify sensitivity to small differences in cloud cover or timing of convection, which can suppress or allow peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers around 30–32°C, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-average warmth persisting into the weekend before any monsoon surge arrives. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies and ECMWF/GFS ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the narrow 33–36°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,056结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show afternoon maxima in Chengdu hovering near 34–35°C on August 9 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. The Sichuan basin’s typical summer heat-trapping circulation and high humidity amplify sensitivity to small differences in cloud cover or timing of convection, which can suppress or allow peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers around 30–32°C, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-average warmth persisting into the weekend before any monsoon surge arrives. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies and ECMWF/GFS ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the narrow 33–36°C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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