Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Wuhan on August 9, supporting the leading market-implied odds at 36% for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River valley, combined with strong solar heating, light northerly winds, and typical August humidity levels near 70%, favors this range, with historical baselines showing average highs of 32–34°C that can shift 1–2°C based on minor cloud cover or moisture advection. The close clustering of probabilities for 34°C and 36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the final model runs, which will update through the weekend ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日武汉气温最高？
8月9日武汉气温最高？
35°C 38%
34°C 26%
36°C 25%
37°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
26%
35°C
38%
36°C
25%
37°C
7%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
1%
35°C 38%
34°C 26%
36°C 25%
37°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
29°C或以下
$371 交易量
<1%
30°C
$22 交易量
<1%
31°C
$230 交易量
1%
32°C
$28 交易量
2%
33°C
$20 交易量
5%
34°C
$785 交易量
26%
35°C
$93 交易量
38%
36°C
$1,271 交易量
25%
37°C
$92 交易量
7%
38°C
$330 交易量
2%
39°C或更高
$42 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Wuhan on August 9, supporting the leading market-implied odds at 36% for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River valley, combined with strong solar heating, light northerly winds, and typical August humidity levels near 70%, favors this range, with historical baselines showing average highs of 32–34°C that can shift 1–2°C based on minor cloud cover or moisture advection. The close clustering of probabilities for 34°C and 36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the final model runs, which will update through the weekend ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,283结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Wuhan on August 9, supporting the leading market-implied odds at 36% for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River valley, combined with strong solar heating, light northerly winds, and typical August humidity levels near 70%, favors this range, with historical baselines showing average highs of 32–34°C that can shift 1–2°C based on minor cloud cover or moisture advection. The close clustering of probabilities for 34°C and 36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the final model runs, which will update through the weekend ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,283结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Wuhan on August 9, supporting the leading market-implied odds at 36% for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River valley, combined with strong solar heating, light northerly winds, and typical August humidity levels near 70%, favors this range, with historical baselines showing average highs of 32–34°C that can shift 1–2°C based on minor cloud cover or moisture advection. The close clustering of probabilities for 34°C and 36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the final model runs, which will update through the weekend ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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