Recent southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by lingering moisture from earlier tropical systems, are driving trader emphasis on 28–30°C maxima for Manila on August 9, as widespread cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar heating and keep afternoon peaks below seasonal potential. Official PAGASA outlooks project daily highs near 30–32°C through the period, yet historical August averages of 31°C combined with frequent convective activity often result in realized maxima 1–2°C cooler when rainfall occurs during peak heating hours. Model consensus from regional guidance points to continued high humidity and variable steering that favors localized thunderstorms, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 29°C while leaving room for modest upward revision if clearer skies develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月9日马尼拉的最高温度？
29°C 36%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
22%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
2%
29°C 36%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
$281 交易量
<1%
24°C
$321 交易量
<1%
25°C
$498 交易量
<1%
26°C
$57 交易量
2%
27°C
$65 交易量
5%
28°C
$60 交易量
22%
29°C
$288 交易量
36%
30°C
$24 交易量
22%
31°C
$180 交易量
10%
32°C
$74 交易量
2%
33°C或更高
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by lingering moisture from earlier tropical systems, are driving trader emphasis on 28–30°C maxima for Manila on August 9, as widespread cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar heating and keep afternoon peaks below seasonal potential. Official PAGASA outlooks project daily highs near 30–32°C through the period, yet historical August averages of 31°C combined with frequent convective activity often result in realized maxima 1–2°C cooler when rainfall occurs during peak heating hours. Model consensus from regional guidance points to continued high humidity and variable steering that favors localized thunderstorms, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 29°C while leaving room for modest upward revision if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,849结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by lingering moisture from earlier tropical systems, are driving trader emphasis on 28–30°C maxima for Manila on August 9, as widespread cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar heating and keep afternoon peaks below seasonal potential. Official PAGASA outlooks project daily highs near 30–32°C through the period, yet historical August averages of 31°C combined with frequent convective activity often result in realized maxima 1–2°C cooler when rainfall occurs during peak heating hours. Model consensus from regional guidance points to continued high humidity and variable steering that favors localized thunderstorms, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 29°C while leaving room for modest upward revision if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,849结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by lingering moisture from earlier tropical systems, are driving trader emphasis on 28–30°C maxima for Manila on August 9, as widespread cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar heating and keep afternoon peaks below seasonal potential. Official PAGASA outlooks project daily highs near 30–32°C through the period, yet historical August averages of 31°C combined with frequent convective activity often result in realized maxima 1–2°C cooler when rainfall occurs during peak heating hours. Model consensus from regional guidance points to continued high humidity and variable steering that favors localized thunderstorms, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 29°C while leaving room for modest upward revision if clearer skies develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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