Current forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, points to peak temperatures of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 7 amid subtropical summer conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation support surface heating near or above seasonal norms of 33–35°C, while high humidity limits overnight cooling and elevates apparent temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, with the latest runs showing minimal cooling influences such as frontal passages or typhoon activity. Official resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from designated urban stations, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the distribution within the 36–38°C cluster that currently dominates market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日广州气温最高？
8月7日广州气温最高？
37°C 46%
38°C 28%
36°C 21%
39°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
21%
37°C
46%
38°C
28%
39°C
5%
40°C或更高
1%
37°C 46%
38°C 28%
36°C 21%
39°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
30°C或以下
$487 交易量
<1%
31°C
$296 交易量
<1%
32°C
$278 交易量
<1%
33°C
$368 交易量
<1%
34°C
$961 交易量
1%
35°C
$317 交易量
4%
36°C
$593 交易量
21%
37°C
$1,552 交易量
46%
38°C
$1,319 交易量
28%
39°C
$1,641 交易量
5%
40°C或更高
$464 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, points to peak temperatures of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 7 amid subtropical summer conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation support surface heating near or above seasonal norms of 33–35°C, while high humidity limits overnight cooling and elevates apparent temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, with the latest runs showing minimal cooling influences such as frontal passages or typhoon activity. Official resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from designated urban stations, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the distribution within the 36–38°C cluster that currently dominates market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$8,276结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, points to peak temperatures of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 7 amid subtropical summer conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation support surface heating near or above seasonal norms of 33–35°C, while high humidity limits overnight cooling and elevates apparent temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, with the latest runs showing minimal cooling influences such as frontal passages or typhoon activity. Official resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from designated urban stations, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the distribution within the 36–38°C cluster that currently dominates market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,276结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, points to peak temperatures of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 7 amid subtropical summer conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation support surface heating near or above seasonal norms of 33–35°C, while high humidity limits overnight cooling and elevates apparent temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, with the latest runs showing minimal cooling influences such as frontal passages or typhoon activity. Official resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from designated urban stations, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the distribution within the 36–38°C cluster that currently dominates market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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