Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月7日圣保罗的最高温度？
25°C 20%
22°C or below 19%
24°C 18%
26°C 15%
最新
$10,904 交易量
最新
$10,904 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C or below
19%
23°C
11%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
15%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 20%
22°C or below 19%
24°C 18%
26°C 15%
最新
$10,904 交易量
最新
$10,904 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C or below
$2,181 交易量
19%
23°C
$1,300 交易量
11%
24°C
$1,535 交易量
18%
25°C
$1,229 交易量
20%
26°C
$1,915 交易量
15%
27°C
$793 交易量
11%
28°C
$698 交易量
6%
29°C
$505 交易量
2%
30°C
$358 交易量
2%
31°C
$10 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$381 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$10,904结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,904结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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