Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum in São Paulo around 27–29 °C on August 6, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, regional high pressure and modest subsidence warming are supporting daytime peaks several degrees above the 23–25 °C August climatological average. Key variables separating the top outcomes include the timing and extent of any passing cloud cover or light showers, urban heat-island amplification in the city center versus official airport observations, and slight differences among numerical weather prediction runs. With resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading from Brazil’s national network, traders are closely tracking the latest model consensus and real-time station data through the afternoon heating period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日圣保罗的最高温度?
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
$20,314 交易量
$20,314 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
37%
29°C
37%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
$20,314 交易量
$20,314 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
37%
29°C
37%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum in São Paulo around 27–29 °C on August 6, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, regional high pressure and modest subsidence warming are supporting daytime peaks several degrees above the 23–25 °C August climatological average. Key variables separating the top outcomes include the timing and extent of any passing cloud cover or light showers, urban heat-island amplification in the city center versus official airport observations, and slight differences among numerical weather prediction runs. With resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading from Brazil’s national network, traders are closely tracking the latest model consensus and real-time station data through the afternoon heating period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题