Current forecast models from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department and AccuWeather project daily highs near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 6, aligning with climatological norms for the early August dry season. Trader sentiment clusters around 33–34°C because typical solar heating and urban heat-island effects in the tropical environment push afternoon peaks into this range, while expected convective showers and high humidity often limit further intensification. The modest 19.5% implied probability for 35°C reflects limited potential for extreme warming under current atmospheric conditions, with lower outcomes discounted by historical data showing rare sub-32°C peaks absent unusual rain or cloud cover. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine resolution thresholds based on precise timing of any precipitation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日吉隆坡气温最高?
34°C 42%
33°C 33%
35°C 20%
32°C 6.0%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
33%
34°C
42%
35°C
20%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
34°C 42%
33°C 33%
35°C 20%
32°C 6.0%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
33%
34°C
42%
35°C
20%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department and AccuWeather project daily highs near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 6, aligning with climatological norms for the early August dry season. Trader sentiment clusters around 33–34°C because typical solar heating and urban heat-island effects in the tropical environment push afternoon peaks into this range, while expected convective showers and high humidity often limit further intensification. The modest 19.5% implied probability for 35°C reflects limited potential for extreme warming under current atmospheric conditions, with lower outcomes discounted by historical data showing rare sub-32°C peaks absent unusual rain or cloud cover. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine resolution thresholds based on precise timing of any precipitation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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