Recent PAGASA and international model consensus for Metro Manila on August 8 points to a daily maximum near 29–30 °C under persistent southwest monsoon conditions that deliver frequent showers and thunderstorms. These rain-cooled air masses and increased cloud cover have kept recent observed highs in the 28–30 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading 29 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (23 %) outcomes while limiting upside to 31 °C or above. Climatological August averages near 31 °C provide context, yet the active monsoon trough and typical wind patterns are currently suppressing peak temperatures. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日马尼拉气温最高?
29°C 48%
30°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 7%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
24%
29°C
48%
30°C
28%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34℃或更高
2%
29°C 48%
30°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 7%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
24%
29°C
48%
30°C
28%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34℃或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA and international model consensus for Metro Manila on August 8 points to a daily maximum near 29–30 °C under persistent southwest monsoon conditions that deliver frequent showers and thunderstorms. These rain-cooled air masses and increased cloud cover have kept recent observed highs in the 28–30 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading 29 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (23 %) outcomes while limiting upside to 31 °C or above. Climatological August averages near 31 °C provide context, yet the active monsoon trough and typical wind patterns are currently suppressing peak temperatures. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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