Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日多伦多气温最高？
8月6日多伦多气温最高？
29°C 41%
28°C 35%
30°C 17%
27°C 9%
最新
$20,338 交易量
最新
$20,338 交易量
2026-08-06
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
35%
29°C
41%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 35%
30°C 17%
27°C 9%
最新
$20,338 交易量
最新
$20,338 交易量
2026-08-06
23°C or below
$677 交易量
<1%
24°C
$724 交易量
<1%
25°C
$818 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,577 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,457 交易量
9%
28°C
$5,475 交易量
35%
29°C
$2,504 交易量
41%
30°C
$1,090 交易量
17%
31°C
$4,600 交易量
2%
32°C
$466 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$950 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$20,338结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,338结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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