Current meteorological forecasts from MetService and other agencies project a daily maximum near 13°C for Wellington on August 7, aligning with typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Trader consensus around this outcome reflects model consensus on moderate northerly flows, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no strong cold fronts or high-pressure systems altering the pattern. Historical data show August maxima averaging 12–13°C, with 14°C possible only under clearer or warmer advection scenarios. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping implied probabilities stable as the short-range forecast window tightens.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月7日惠灵顿的最高温度？
13°C 56%
12°C 29%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
最新
$13,490 交易量
最新
$13,490 交易量
2026-08-07
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
29%
13°C
56%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 29%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
最新
$13,490 交易量
最新
$13,490 交易量
2026-08-07
7°C or below
$407 交易量
<1%
8°C
$431 交易量
<1%
9°C
$577 交易量
<1%
10°C
$560 交易量
<1%
11°C
$2,535 交易量
3%
12°C
$1,462 交易量
29%
13°C
$4,348 交易量
56%
14°C
$1,653 交易量
14%
15°C
$738 交易量
2%
16°C
$428 交易量
<1%
17°C or higher
$396 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from MetService and other agencies project a daily maximum near 13°C for Wellington on August 7, aligning with typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Trader consensus around this outcome reflects model consensus on moderate northerly flows, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no strong cold fronts or high-pressure systems altering the pattern. Historical data show August maxima averaging 12–13°C, with 14°C possible only under clearer or warmer advection scenarios. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping implied probabilities stable as the short-range forecast window tightens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$13,490结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from MetService and other agencies project a daily maximum near 13°C for Wellington on August 7, aligning with typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Trader consensus around this outcome reflects model consensus on moderate northerly flows, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no strong cold fronts or high-pressure systems altering the pattern. Historical data show August maxima averaging 12–13°C, with 14°C possible only under clearer or warmer advection scenarios. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping implied probabilities stable as the short-range forecast window tightens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,490结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other agencies project a daily maximum near 13°C for Wellington on August 7, aligning with typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Trader consensus around this outcome reflects model consensus on moderate northerly flows, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no strong cold fronts or high-pressure systems altering the pattern. Historical data show August maxima averaging 12–13°C, with 14°C possible only under clearer or warmer advection scenarios. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping implied probabilities stable as the short-range forecast window tightens.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题