Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models project a daily high in Busan on August 9 around 29–31°C, with isolated showers or thunderstorms possible that could limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. The North Pacific High continues to advect warm, moist air over the region, but proximity to the coast introduces marine influences that moderate extremes relative to inland sites. With only two days until resolution, minor shifts in model guidance on precipitation timing or wind patterns are creating tight clustering of trader probabilities around 30–32°C. Historical August baselines near 29°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a modest exceedance unless convection develops earlier than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日釜山气温最高?
31°C 30%
32°C 29%
30°C 21%
33°C 15%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
21%
31°C
30%
32°C
29%
33°C
15%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
31°C 30%
32°C 29%
30°C 21%
33°C 15%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
21%
31°C
30%
32°C
29%
33°C
15%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models project a daily high in Busan on August 9 around 29–31°C, with isolated showers or thunderstorms possible that could limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. The North Pacific High continues to advect warm, moist air over the region, but proximity to the coast introduces marine influences that moderate extremes relative to inland sites. With only two days until resolution, minor shifts in model guidance on precipitation timing or wind patterns are creating tight clustering of trader probabilities around 30–32°C. Historical August baselines near 29°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a modest exceedance unless convection develops earlier than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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