Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office point to daytime maxima near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 9, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or 28°C. This positioning reflects the moderating influence of Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to inland model guidance. With outcomes closely matched, the narrow gap hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind direction and strength, timing of maximum solar heating under typical August high pressure, and microclimate effects at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether localized cooling keeps readings at or below 28°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月9日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
27°C 43%
28°C 38%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
43%
28°C
38%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 38%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
$35 交易量
<1%
24°C
$18 交易量
<1%
25°C
$38 交易量
3%
26°C
$21 交易量
10%
27°C
$1,672 交易量
43%
28°C
$50 交易量
38%
29°C
$23 交易量
12%
30°C
$44 交易量
2%
31°C
$29 交易量
2%
32°C
$5 交易量
2%
33°C或更高
$29 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office point to daytime maxima near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 9, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or 28°C. This positioning reflects the moderating influence of Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to inland model guidance. With outcomes closely matched, the narrow gap hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind direction and strength, timing of maximum solar heating under typical August high pressure, and microclimate effects at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether localized cooling keeps readings at or below 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,963结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office point to daytime maxima near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 9, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or 28°C. This positioning reflects the moderating influence of Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to inland model guidance. With outcomes closely matched, the narrow gap hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind direction and strength, timing of maximum solar heating under typical August high pressure, and microclimate effects at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether localized cooling keeps readings at or below 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,963结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office point to daytime maxima near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 9, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or 28°C. This positioning reflects the moderating influence of Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to inland model guidance. With outcomes closely matched, the narrow gap hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind direction and strength, timing of maximum solar heating under typical August high pressure, and microclimate effects at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether localized cooling keeps readings at or below 28°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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