**Current forecasts for Taipei point to a mix of persistent summer heat and moderating effects from Typhoon Dolphin’s outer circulation.** Official Central Weather Administration alerts and recent model runs highlight southwesterly flow and increased moisture, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating on August 8. Historical August baselines show typical daily highs of 32–34°C in northern Taiwan, but incoming rain and cloud cover introduce realistic cooling potential, supporting the market’s 51% implied probability on 32°C or higher alongside notable volume on 31°C and 30°C outcomes. Eastern downslope winds may produce localized extremes elsewhere, yet northern urban stations face the highest uncertainty from precipitation timing. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble tracks through the weekend will be the key near-term drivers as traders weigh these variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日台北气温最高?
32°C or higher 51%
31°C 24%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
51%
32°C or higher 51%
31°C 24%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts for Taipei point to a mix of persistent summer heat and moderating effects from Typhoon Dolphin’s outer circulation.** Official Central Weather Administration alerts and recent model runs highlight southwesterly flow and increased moisture, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating on August 8. Historical August baselines show typical daily highs of 32–34°C in northern Taiwan, but incoming rain and cloud cover introduce realistic cooling potential, supporting the market’s 51% implied probability on 32°C or higher alongside notable volume on 31°C and 30°C outcomes. Eastern downslope winds may produce localized extremes elsewhere, yet northern urban stations face the highest uncertainty from precipitation timing. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble tracks through the weekend will be the key near-term drivers as traders weigh these variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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