Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure driving a warming trend across southeast England, with London forecast to reach 32°C on August 9 amid clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm advection. Ensemble models show modest spread around 29–33°C due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, while historical August maxima average near 22°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C reflects this consensus alongside recognition that small forecast adjustments—such as a delayed ridge or localized sea-breeze effects—could shift the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日伦敦气温最高？
8月9日伦敦气温最高？
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
33%
32°C
22%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
26°C or below
$68 交易量
<1%
27°C
$43 交易量
2%
28°C
$442 交易量
4%
29°C
$419 交易量
8%
30°C
$248 交易量
26%
31°C
$527 交易量
33%
32°C
$322 交易量
22%
33°C
$61 交易量
9%
34°C
$438 交易量
2%
35°C
$84 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$138 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure driving a warming trend across southeast England, with London forecast to reach 32°C on August 9 amid clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm advection. Ensemble models show modest spread around 29–33°C due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, while historical August maxima average near 22°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C reflects this consensus alongside recognition that small forecast adjustments—such as a delayed ridge or localized sea-breeze effects—could shift the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,792结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure driving a warming trend across southeast England, with London forecast to reach 32°C on August 9 amid clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm advection. Ensemble models show modest spread around 29–33°C due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, while historical August maxima average near 22°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C reflects this consensus alongside recognition that small forecast adjustments—such as a delayed ridge or localized sea-breeze effects—could shift the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,792结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure driving a warming trend across southeast England, with London forecast to reach 32°C on August 9 amid clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm advection. Ensemble models show modest spread around 29–33°C due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, while historical August maxima average near 22°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C reflects this consensus alongside recognition that small forecast adjustments—such as a delayed ridge or localized sea-breeze effects—could shift the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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